Why RCB win this
Chinnaswamy has seen a quiet shift this season. Ten of the last thirteen games here have been won by the chasing side, but RCB's new opening pair of Virat Kohli and Phil Salt has posted powerplays of 64, 71, 58 and 79 at home โ the highest 6-over average at this venue in IPL history. Gujarat arrive without Rashid Khan (flight delay reported) and their back-up leg-spinner Sai Kishore leaks 9.1 per over at Chinnaswamy historically.
Top batter pick
Phil Salt at 3.10 โ three 40+ scores in his last four here, and his matchup against Mohit Sharma (21 balls, 37 runs, 0 dismissals career) is as lopsided as it gets.
Top bowler pick
Yash Dayal at 4.50 โ swings it under lights, and he has the highest dot-ball percentage in death overs at Chinnaswamy this season (47.6%).
Avoid this bet
Stay away from "tied match" specials and individual six-count bets under 8.5 โ Chinnaswamy's average sixes-per-match in 2026 is 14.2.